基于随机森林的工业生产设备故障分类预测研究

    Research on fault classification and prediction of industrial production equipment based on random forest

    • 摘要: 设备运行的稳定性和可靠性,直接决定了现代工业的生产效率与产品质量。为了保障工业设备的可靠性,对故障分类的预测尤为关键。现有研究所提出的故障分类模型往往局限于某一特定工业设备,导致模型不具有普适性。因此,针对散热故障、电源故障、过度应变故障和磨损故障等多种常见于工业设备中的故障类型,考虑扭矩状态、空气温度、工具磨损、过程温度和转速等常见于工业设备中的特征数据,本文基于随机森林算法提出一种普适性的故障分类模型。该模型基于Gini指数计算特征重要性,能够精准确定各特征对故障预测的贡献度。本文采用AI4I 2020预测性维护数据集对模型进行了应用验证。为全面评估模型性能,研究采用了准确率、精确率、召回率、F1分数等指标,并运用宏平均和加权平均的计算方法进行综合考量。结果表明,扭矩状态为关键故障特征,且该模型在故障诊断中的准确率达到85.4%,尤其在预测设备正常状态时准确率高达95.8%。对比显示,所提出的模型优于支持向量机、梯度提升树和逻辑回归三种经典预测算法模型。

       

      Abstract: The stability and reliability of equipment operation are pivotal determinants of production efficiency and product quality in modern industrial manufacturing. To ensure the reliability of industrial equipment, fault classification prediction is particularly critical. Existing fault classification models proposed in current research are often limited to specific industrial equipment, resulting in poor model generalizability. Therefore, to address common industrial equipment fault types such as cooling system failures, power supply faults, excessive strain failures, and wear-related failures, a universal fault classification model based on the random forest algorithm is proposed, incorporating characteristic data prevalent in industrial equipment including torque status, air temperature, tool wear, process temperature, and rotational speed.Feature importance is calculated by the model using the Gini index to precisely determine the contribution of each feature to fault prediction.Validation is conducted using the AI4I 2020 Predictive Maintenance Dataset. To comprehensively evaluate model performance, metrics including accuracy, precision,recall, and F1-score are adopted, with macro-average and weighted-average methods applied for holistic assessment. It is indicated by the results that torque status serves as the critical fault feature.An accuracy of 85.4% in fault diagnosis is achieved by the model, with particular excellence demonstrated in predicting normal equipment states at 95.8% accuracy, outperforming three classical algorithms: support vector machine (SVM), gradient boosting decisiontree (GBDT), and logistic regression (LR).

       

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